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JA
Joseph Anthony Group
Prediction Markets Trader | New York, NY, USA | Flexible
Career Insights for Securities / Commodities Trader
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What they do
A Securities or Commodities Trader trades securities or commodities electronically or on a trade or auction floor such as a stock exchange. Securities include stocks and bonds; commodities include products such as oil, gold, or corn. Monitors financial markets and the performance and price of different securities. Negotiates prices and terms for a sale or trade.
$157,828 / year median in New York
+11% projected growth
Job Description
A proprietary trading and investment firm focused on prediction markets and event-driven opportunities is seeking a highly analytical and intellectually curious Prediction Markets Trader to join its growing team. The firm combines rigorous research, probabilistic thinking, and disciplined execution to identify and capitalize on opportunities across a broad range of markets. This role is ideal for individuals who enjoy making forecasts, evaluating uncertainty, and developing an edge in markets where information, probabilities, and timing matter. Key Responsibilities
- Research and analyze prediction markets across politics, economics, business, technology, sports, and current events.
- Develop independent forecasts and probability assessments for market outcomes.
- Identify mispriced opportunities and execute trades in accordance with established risk management guidelines.
- Monitor breaking news, market developments, public data, and other information that may impact event probabilities.
- Track positions, evaluate performance, and document investment theses.
- Collaborate with team members to discuss forecasts, challenge assumptions, and improve decision-making processes.
- Build and refine research methodologies, models, and tools to improve forecasting accuracy.
- Maintain discipline in position sizing, risk management, and capital allocation. Qualifications
- Strong analytical, quantitative, and critical-thinking skills.
- Demonstrated interest in prediction markets, trading, investing, forecasting, or decision-making under uncertainty.
- Ability to synthesize information from multiple sources and reach independent conclusions.
- Excellent attention to detail and commitment to intellectual honesty.
- Strong written and verbal communication skills.
- Ability to work effectively both independently
- Experience trading prediction markets, financial markets, sports betting, poker, or other probability-driven environments.
- Background in finance, economics, mathematics, statistics, computer science, data science, political science, or a related field.
- Demonstrated ability to make accurate forecasts or profitable trading decisions.
- Understanding of probability theory, expected value, market dynamics, and risk management principles.
- Python, C++ or Rust familiarity
- Experience with Claude